Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.639788 4.281375 5.025257 5.956892 7.099963 8.466316 10.237593
2025-01-05 2.638010 3.414075 4.423579 5.854811 7.867592 10.652551 14.896809
2025-01-12 2.201892 3.031113 4.194400 5.988406 8.764870 13.038339 20.404306
2025-01-19 1.847040 2.662498 3.873619 5.866816 9.194568 14.780903 25.463175
2025-01-26 1.704120 2.564946 3.914422 6.279228 10.534323 18.333413 34.956915
2025-02-02 1.561338 2.437506 3.875862 6.537766 11.656220 21.817280 45.795789
2025-02-09 1.452826 2.344671 3.871942 6.845661 12.935244 25.997245 60.123878
2025-02-16 1.331424 2.209974 3.769654 6.942845 13.810900 29.603677 74.937773
2025-02-23 1.233191 2.100887 3.693907 7.072217 14.783138 33.762269 93.654954
2025-03-02 1.125503 1.959795 3.535572 6.997953 15.273213 36.902314 111.278986
2025-03-09 1.054348 1.877464 3.478250 7.127926 16.285368 41.816016 138.337619
2025-03-16 0.972367 1.764185 3.342396 7.055200 16.768706 45.422633 163.379519
2025-03-23 0.894471 1.661292 3.237638 7.096867 17.752316 51.603488 207.957223
2025-03-30 0.810205 1.537438 3.075631 6.984200 18.340956 57.101745 257.982245
2025-04-06 0.757816 1.471530 3.028301 7.148101 19.815583 66.708836 344.956158
2025-04-13 0.691431 1.366786 2.875607 6.998285 20.260712 72.719308 421.732665
2025-04-20 0.672113 1.361739 2.954607 7.507062 23.128236 91.196547 630.304817
2025-04-27 0.643125 1.330904 2.965945 7.826688 25.493429 109.606453 897.324150
2025-05-04 0.619251 1.308484 2.994382 8.207986 28.300212 133.234912 1314.469659
2025-05-11 0.585547 1.258517 2.943659 8.328483 30.131225 153.476750 1794.435066
2025-05-18 0.556562 1.216365 2.907134 8.488993 32.244648 178.204717 2505.617583
2025-05-25 0.520694 1.153096 2.803636 8.396840 33.183007 196.257275 3239.509996
2025-06-01 0.497058 1.117822 2.773141 8.558147 35.463982 227.908759 4622.271329